Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.029456 0.031749 0.034044 0.036509 0.039079 0.041676 0.044495
2025-08-31 0.024289 0.027997 0.031851 0.036139 0.040757 0.045566 0.050934
2025-09-07 0.021039 0.025582 0.030447 0.036002 0.042127 0.048639 0.056046
2025-09-14 0.018275 0.023332 0.028892 0.035384 0.042685 0.050579 0.059695
2025-09-21 0.016006 0.021403 0.027485 0.034732 0.043026 0.052124 0.062766
2025-09-28 0.013985 0.019583 0.026047 0.033900 0.043033 0.053186 0.065197
2025-10-05 0.013181 0.019135 0.026139 0.034771 0.044930 0.056334 0.069934
2025-10-12 0.012219 0.018414 0.025840 0.035127 0.046184 0.058712 0.073769
2025-10-19 0.011092 0.017404 0.025125 0.034927 0.046738 0.060245 0.076607
2025-10-26 0.010711 0.017316 0.025515 0.036038 0.048824 0.063544 0.081469
2025-11-02 0.009959 0.016690 0.025194 0.036247 0.049808 0.065537 0.084807
2025-11-09 0.009028 0.015765 0.024445 0.035886 0.050072 0.066657 0.087107
2025-11-16 0.008082 0.014815 0.023693 0.035580 0.050493 0.068082 0.089923
2025-11-23 0.007170 0.013869 0.022923 0.035252 0.050908 0.069541 0.092844
2025-11-30 0.006420 0.013094 0.022336 0.035120 0.051538 0.071241 0.096040
2025-12-07 0.005585 0.012119 0.021420 0.034511 0.051533 0.072141 0.098259
2025-12-14 0.004829 0.011192 0.020514 0.033870 0.051447 0.072914 0.100302
2025-12-21 0.004102 0.010238 0.019512 0.033050 0.051094 0.073328 0.101886
2025-12-28 0.003902 0.010148 0.019751 0.033908 0.052903 0.076417 0.106723
2026-01-04 0.003587 0.009828 0.019630 0.034258 0.054043 0.078669 0.110538
2026-01-11 0.003166 0.009277 0.019133 0.034061 0.054448 0.079991 0.113208
2026-01-18 0.003078 0.009332 0.019556 0.035156 0.056559 0.083461 0.118528
2026-01-25 0.002800 0.008999 0.019360 0.035362 0.057483 0.085431 0.121999